Sir, you've mentioned that a bank credit crisis in the US is unlikely. What's your probabilistic assessment of a credit crisis or a sovereign crisis in the EU and would it be a major event for RoW?
I'll squeeze another on the investing/speculation part. You have bullish or bearish views based on your market reading skills. Do you approach downtrends through shorting (F&O in Equities/Currency/Commodities, I guess we don't have any shorting options in Rates), or just do you just go into inertia (What Long Only Guys Do)?
Considerably higher than the US. Europe in a perpetual crisis for the past decade. Typical of the ageing country, having its debt grow much faster, has its banks as well its people more levered than US counterparts and losing tech edge.
I don't know the tricks of shorting the stocks. Also, think it's extremely risky given high vol mixed with right-side fat tails. Other segments (Rates & currency) of fin markets are better places to short - as and when opportunities arise, and i have done that somewhat successfully.
Sir, you've mentioned that a bank credit crisis in the US is unlikely. What's your probabilistic assessment of a credit crisis or a sovereign crisis in the EU and would it be a major event for RoW?
I'll squeeze another on the investing/speculation part. You have bullish or bearish views based on your market reading skills. Do you approach downtrends through shorting (F&O in Equities/Currency/Commodities, I guess we don't have any shorting options in Rates), or just do you just go into inertia (What Long Only Guys Do)?
Many Thanks! :)
Considerably higher than the US. Europe in a perpetual crisis for the past decade. Typical of the ageing country, having its debt grow much faster, has its banks as well its people more levered than US counterparts and losing tech edge.
I don't know the tricks of shorting the stocks. Also, think it's extremely risky given high vol mixed with right-side fat tails. Other segments (Rates & currency) of fin markets are better places to short - as and when opportunities arise, and i have done that somewhat successfully.